Paper

Kenya: Analysis of the 2016/17 National Budget Estimates

June 2016 | by John Kinuthia and Jason Lakin, Ph.D. , IBP Kenya

Kenya’s 2016/17 national budget (the Budget Estimates) was tabled in the National Assembly just before the end of April 2016. It will now be reviewed by the Budget and Appropriations Committee and then by Parliament for amendment and approval before June 30. This analysis asks key questions about the budget that we believe should be of interest to both Parliament and the public:

  1. Does the overall budget and do the budgets for ministries, departments and agencies in the Budget Estimates match the ceilings set in the Budget Policy Statement (BPS)?
  2. Which programs and subprograms are receiving priority in the coming year and why?
  3. What are the targets for the year for various programs and how realistic and reasonable are these in light of past performance?
  4. Does the budget contain narrative information about how past challenges in budget implementation are being addressed through the coming year’s budget?

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Authors

John Kinuthia

Senior Program Officer, IBP Kenya

John is a Senior Program Officer at the International Budget Partnership Kenya (IBPK). He joined IBP in October 2012 just as Kenya’s ambitious devolution program was taking off. John leads IBPK’s research and analytical work in Kenya, and he is part of the team that works to promote budget transparency and to improve public engagement on how the government raises and spends public resources.

He has done extensive research on Kenya’s public finance system for evidence generation that IBP uses to provide technical support to civil society organizations and, in some cases, government agencies. John’s research focuses on equitable revenue sharing mechanisms, equity in government expenditure, social protection, budget credibility, public participation in budgets, sub-national budget transparency, among other areas. His role also includes supporting capacity building and the publication of guides and tools that IBPK uses to improve community engagement with national and sub-national government budgets. John also plays a role in coordinating IBP’s programmatic work in Kenya, including supporting fundraising and administrative tasks.

John holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Physics from Jomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and Technology (JKUAT), an MBA in Strategic Management from the Kenya Methodist University, and a professional award on Decentralization and Local Governance from SOAS University of London.

Before joining IBP, John worked with Twaweza East Africa as an Associate Analyst, where he helped to build the Kenya Budget Explorer, a centralized budget portal, to improve citizens’ access to budget information.  He is a big data enthusiast, a happy bee farmer, and a part-time historian.

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