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Investigating Budget Credibility in Nigeria: Niger State’s Health and Agriculture Sectors

Budget credibility is the ability of governments to accurately and consistently meet their expenditure and revenue targets. At its core, budget credibility is about the government upholding annual budgetary commitments and seeks to understand why governments deviate from these commitments. Budget credibility is an issue of interest to the public because of the need to ensure that public funds allocated in national budgets are spent as planned and translated into effective service delivery. Moreover, governments risk losing the public’s faith if they repeatedly deviate from their budgets.

Nigeria’s Federal government has historically set aggressive revenue and expenditure targets that it is unable to meet annually. This has, in part, contributed to severe budget credibility issues. These challenges are also found within state budgets. The extent of state-level budget credibility issues is less documented, and the drivers of budget credibility challenges are not yet fully understood. This research on budget credibility in Niger state provides an overview of the state’s budget performance. It assesses in more detail the budget credibility in the state’s health and agriculture sectors, run by the Niger State Ministry of Health and the Niger State Ministry of Agriculture, respectively.

In this brief, we provide an overview of the Niger state budgeting process, followed by an analysis of budget credibility challenges in the health and agriculture sector, concluding with recommendations.

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Investigating Budget Credibility in Nigeria: Niger State’s Health and Agriculture Sectors

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